By Selim Ibraimi- The Balkans remain the area of instability. Even though the security and stabilization has been improved since the 1999, the region fails back on current trends.
Migration of Syrian refugees dramatically has change the Western Balkans and had direct impact on the feature of the region. Russia’s offensive is extremely worrying for the Allied forces and Germany and France have launched a different approach to Russia.
What does this mean for the Balkans and what kind of regional impact will have the new EU policy for the Balkans? What else is in Putin’s mind? The way the Balkan States have decided to deal with threats of the decade, is actually in out dated mode in terms what United States and European Union want to achieve in this part of Peninsula. Crimea, the Oil-Liquefied Natural Gas Production (LNG) and Russian interests in Balkans, in some degree made the US to stay close to it’s regional allies.
As the international system has change a lot in recent years and due to the US involvement in other wars, basically the Balkans change too.
The vacuum in Peninsula was filed by Russia and, now US and other forces must deal with crisis in Macedonia, Bosnia, Kosovo, Serbia and in Montenegro. In this context, the arms race between Zagreb and Belgrade can be seen as indirect involvement of Russia and US in the Balkans.
The dependency on Russian gas export by European countries, includes here the Balkans, in near future can be reduced only if US starts to support and export to European market gas and oil.
Meanwhile the US Congress has raise the concerns how to find an alternative way of exporting gas to the states of Western Balkans. (A SHORT BRIEF-ISSDMaqedonia-@CSSDMacedonia)