Selim Ibraimi-There is fear and uncertainty in the EU and Ukraine. This follows the conversation between outgoing German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Russian President Vladimir Putin. A few days ago, the newly elected US President Donald Trump had also unofficially talked with Putin. For uncertain times, it is always good to analyze the geopolitical risk. But before that, we should always bring to the reader some aspects of the peculiarities of today’s geopolitics.
Since ancient times, people have always been interested in understanding the future and how things develop. Technology and scientific methods have greatly expanded. This development has led to improved scientific research. Institutions, media, and analysts are now publishing more insights. They are discussing what politics will look like at the local, national, or global level. Actions on the global stage are exactly the object of geopolitical studies. And in these matters, it is impossible for us not to say anything about geopolitics in our time. By applying new methods in geopolitics, analysts can draw some conclusions about how a leadership can act. Leadership chooses to act differently or repeat the same political actions. As nations face common challenges, they must handle differing resources. There is a constant balancing act to maintain regional and global stability.
Geopolitics in contemporary times shapes our everyday world. It reveals the political, economic, and social reality. This impact is evident from a vendor in the market to the elderly. In this new world that is being imposed, shouldn’t we know a little more about it?
We have brought some examples for the readers. They are our daily concerns. However, the geopolitics often discussed today goes beyond being a reflection of national, regional, and global interests.
In the geopolitics of great states, today’s enemies can be tomorrow’s friends and allies, or vice versa. As things are going in the EU, Ukraine, the Middle East, China, and the US, national politics become unpredictable. International geopolitics are also influenced by a variety of actors and factors. Again, as we said above, some developments can be expected. These developments are roughly known. We can anticipate how a leader will act abroad, whether with allies or enemies. For example, Donald Trump, the president-elect of the US won the election on November 4, 2024. People inside and outside are anxious to know how he will fare in his second term.
Specifically, readers and global audiences are interested in knowing more about what American geopolitics will be like. Changes in the governments of powerful states affect global economies. They also impact daily life. It is natural for people to increase interest, especially in countries affected either directly or indirectly. For example, the trade war and tariffs affect food prices. They also raise costs for other materials important to consumers. As is known, any change in world politics tends to have effects on global and regional stability. Along these lines, governments are always faced with challenges and surprises. They are forced to enter into binding agreements. Alternatively, they negotiate based on several factors.
European states, Ukraine, and the Balkan states can be examined as examples. We should not exclude other states affected by the new Trump presidency. Other geopolitical players decide to enter into peace agreements or at least maintain a fragile peace with their opponents. In this phase of increased geopolitical uncertainty, the American approach to foreign policy during Trump’s term will bring changes. These changes are certain. It will reshape the landscape in multilateral institutions and interstate relations. For our readers, we can say a short prediction can be made from this point. It concerns the new American presidency and how things will move at other levels of international relations. And of course, this is a difficult job. It requires systematic viewing and evaluation of events from recent history. It includes an actuality of expected developments. Predicting the future in global geopolitics is a complicated process. As technology advances, global events move at breakneck speed. Change and aggressive politics will probably continue reshaping borders. It will also alter governments (see the case of Germany). As people seek change and cessation of conflict, new tensions rise within and between nations. All these events are a consequence of geopolitics, which historically has been decisive for the fate of leaders and nations.
Economic pressures, wars, and rising inequality will also be on the horizon during Trump’s term. Conflicts on the global stage are inevitable. They relate to territory and government issues. In other words, they involve political and human geography. As we approach the end of the third decade, the great will determine the destinies of many nations. They will be forced to survive or compromise. This will occur against the will of weak states in a complex system of anarchy.
The media, humanity researchers, and governments should hope for a better outcome. Everyone desires a world with fewer victims. When the vacuum should be filled by the great, it is usually the third who suffers. The best geopolitics we can imagine at this time focuses on preventing future wars. We expect this will lead to the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine and Gaza. There is also hope for a paradigm shift in solving the open issues of the Balkans. Everything remains to be seen in the coming years.
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